Download PDF by Mary Morgan, Frank den Butter: Empirical models and Policy Making: Interaction and

By Mary Morgan, Frank den Butter

ISBN-10: 0203130499

ISBN-13: 9780203130490

ISBN-10: 0415232171

ISBN-13: 9780415232173

ISBN-10: 0415236053

ISBN-13: 9780415236058

This assortment, written via highly-placed practitioners and educational economists, offers an image of the way financial modellers and coverage makers have interaction. The booklet offers foreign case stories of specific interactions among versions and coverage making, and argues that the movement of knowledge is two-way.

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1994. Modelling Welfare State Reform. North Holland, Amsterdam. , 1993. Modelling the Effects of Minimum Wages and Unemployment Benefits. Research Memorandum no. 106, CPB, The Hague. , 1996. ’ In:Van Ginneken, W. ), Finding the Balance: Financing and Coverage of Social Protection in Europe. ILO, Geneva, pp. 77–90. ,Van de Klundert,Th. J. , 1975. ’ In: Werkloosheid, Preadviezen van de Vereniging voor de Staathuishoudkunde. Martinus Nijhof, The Hague, pp. 49–110. Den Hartog, H. , 1976. ‘Investment, wages, prices and demand for labour: a clay—clay vintage model for the Netherlands’, De Economist 124, 32–55.

1 In our opinion, the exercises by universities lacked continuity, models were not maintained and no track-record was available that could allow policy makers to assess the performance of academic forecasters and analysts. One possible explanation for the academic behaviour is that institutional barriers that regulate the flow of (confidential) government information increase the costs for entrants outside government and the Central Bank. The limited size of the Dutch market may also have been a relevant factor.

The commission emphasized in its memorandum that a reduction in the fiscal deficit implies a short-term pain in order to realize a long-term gain. Although the latter effect was relatively small according to FREIA, the reduction in the fiscal deficit received high priority. Policy makers believed that the FREIA model did not capture all relevant effects of the extremely high fiscal deficit, like a loss in confidence of economic agents. As we have observed in the preceding subsection, the CPB urged the necessity of a policy of wage restraint since the early 1970s.

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Empirical models and Policy Making: Interaction and Institutions by Mary Morgan, Frank den Butter


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