New PDF release: Interpreting epidemiologic evidence : strategies for study

By David A. Savitz

ISBN-10: 019510840X

ISBN-13: 9780195108408

Comparing the power or persuasiveness of epidemiologic proof is inherently not easy, either for these new to the sphere and for skilled researchers. There are a myriad of power biases to contemplate, yet little tips approximately the right way to asses the most probably influence on research effects. This ebook deals a technique for assessing epidemiologic examine findings, explicitly describing the objectives and items of epidemiologic study with the intention to greater review it successes and obstacles. the focal point all through is on useful instruments for making optimum use of obtainable info to evaluate no matter if hypothesized biases are operative and to expect issues on the aspect of research layout with a purpose to make sure that wanted info is generated. particular instruments for assessing the presence and impression of choice bias in either cohort and case-control experiences, bias from non-response, confounding, publicity size errors, disorder size mistakes, and random blunders are pointed out and evaluated. the capability worth of every process in addition to its boundaries are mentioned, utilizing examples from the printed literature. Such details may also help those that generate and interpret epidemiologic learn to use methodological ideas extra successfully to important concerns, resulting in a extra exact appraisal of the present proof and bigger readability approximately learn wishes

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Additional info for Interpreting epidemiologic evidence : strategies for study design and analysis

Example text

In fact, the spectrum of scientific certainty has been used cynically at times to argue that control of tobacco or other hazards should await definitive proof, quite possibly with the knowledge that such proof will never come. It would be much easier to explain and market epidemiologic evidence to outsiders if we set a quantitative threshold for proven as is done in court (more probable than not). In opposition to such an approach is the inability to measure certainty in such formal, quantitative terms, the incentive it would create to understate or exaggerate the certainty of epidemiologic evidence, and the real possibility that errors of overinterpretation and underinterpretation of epidemiologic research would become more rather than less common.

Perusal of any issue of an epidemiology journal contains dozens, sometimes hundreds, of estimates of association regarding how diet, medications, and workplace exposures might affect health, and few readers would take those individual findings and interpret them as quantitative reflections of the underlying causal effects. Capturing causal relations with accuracy is tremendously challenging. Epidemiologic measures of association are distorted to varying extent by random error or bias, or perhaps reflect a real phenomenon that is not exactly what it purports to be.

The importance of a given issue is not necessarily correlated with the availability of tools to address it. Although each study will have distinctive attributes that define its strengths and vulnerabilities, a subset of candidate biases can often be expected to be near the top of the list. Structural features of the study that directly rather than indirectly influence the estimated measure of interest are of particular concern. , non-comparability of controls and cases, underlying reasons why some persons are and are not exposed) and measurement errors in the primary exposure or disease variables (often based on a limited correspondence between the available data and the desired data) will be of importance.

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Interpreting epidemiologic evidence : strategies for study design and analysis by David A. Savitz


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